Ocean shippers are facing a nightmare scenario as carriers turn away bookings and struggle to adhere to current agreements. The cause? A tangle of equipment shortages, cargo backlogs, and booking stops that are likely to continue well past Chinese New Year and into 2021.
US imports are skyrocketing. In fact, growth in October was especially impressive—up 21% on a year-over-year basis; and imports from Asia were up 23.7% percent from October 2019, while imports from China increased 30%. But around the world, companies and their supply chain partners are scrambling to keep up with the ocean market turmoil—changes often occur with very little notice.
What began in February, with factory closures in China due to Covid-19, has set off a domino effect, leading up to the industry-paralyzing equipment and infrastructure crisis of today.
A long-running equipment imbalance spanning driver, rail, and chassis shortages is driving the current scenario:
Now, parts of the industry are slowing to a standstill. Some shipping lines have suspended service, citing reduced capacity from local feeder operators in South China, due to Covid restrictions. Blank sailings are cropping up throughout January, further delaying the repositioning of empty equipment.
The entire globe feels the impact. Heading to Europe, some ships have had to sail light, because there aren’t enough containers. And in the US, the Federal Maritime Commission has expanded the scope of an investigation into carrier decisions to withhold containers from US hinterlands.
Meanwhile, inbound containers sit at terminals, waiting for importers to receive them, in a situation that is illustrating the fallout of labor and equipment shortages alongside high consumer demand.
While this shakes out—and it could be a while—companies may want to reassess existing supply chains and adjust based on timing and availability of transport.
An important guideline to keep in mind: Circumstances can change suddenly. Many companies are positioning themselves now to make rapid adjustments to supply chain strategies as new information arises.
For now, a company’s shipping history may not earn it any particular loyalty from a carrier—even with certain types of premium services if they don’t include guarantees.
A strong freight forwarding partner, however, can help secure space, navigate route options, and access premium ocean services with equipment and space—though current conditions challenge such options.
To help clients during this time of extreme disruption, Flexport advises:
Having visibility to conditions as they unfold is key. For instance, Flexport clients have transparent access to a wide range of current and historical data housed in its digital platform. That kind of visibility can bring reliability to transit time predictions, expose potential cost efficiencies, and reveal possible route alternatives.
Over time, deeper data lets shippers discover alternative solutions more rapidly. And that can inform a major save in the weeks approaching Chinese New Year or other rush times when volatility is heightened.
Be sure to ask about service capabilities, like route optimization, or negotiate for escalated solutions during periods of intense competition for space. By partnering with the right freight forwarder, companies may be able to mitigate the risks of delay and extreme expense in 2021.
Learn more about Flexport’s ocean services to discover how to keep cargo moving during wild-card market conditions.
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